Prediction of Patients with COVID-19 Requiring Intensive Care: A Cross-sectional Study Based on Machine-learning Approach from Iran.

Background: Prioritizing the patients requiring intensive care may decrease the fatality of coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19). Aims and objectives: To develop, validate, and compare two models based on machine-learning methods for predicting patients with COVID-19 requiring intensive care. Materials and methods: In 2021, 506 suspected COVID-19 patients, with clinical presentations along with radiographic findings, were laboratory confirmed and included in the study. The primary end-point was patients with COVID-19 requiring intensive care, defined as actual admission to the intensive care unit (ICU). The data were randomly partitioned into training and testing sets (70% and 30%, respectively) without overlapping. A decision-tree algorithm and multivariate logistic regression were performed to develop the models for predicting the cases based on their first 24 hours data. The predictive performance of the models was compared based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, and accuracy of the models. Results: A 10-fold cross-validation decision-tree model predicted cases requiring intensive care with the AUC, accuracy, and sensitivity of 97%, 98%, and 94.74%, respectively. The same values in the machine-learning logistic regression model were 75%, 85.62%, and 55.26%, respectively. Creatinine, smoking, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, temperature, respiratory rate, partial thromboplastin time, white blood cell, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), dizziness, international normalized ratio, O2 saturation, C-reactive protein, diastolic blood pressure (DBP), and dry cough were the most important predictors. Conclusion: In an Iranian population, our decision-based machine-learning method offered an advantage over logistic regression for predicting patients requiring intensive care. This method can support clinicians in decision-making, using patients' early data, particularly in low- and middle-income countries where their resources are as limited as Iran. How to cite this article: Sabetian G, Azimi A, Kazemi A, Hoseini B, Asmarian N, Khaloo V, et al. Prediction of Patients with COVID-19 Requiring Intensive Care: A Cross-sectional Study based on Machine-learning Approach from Iran. Indian J Crit Care Med 2022;26(6):688-695. Ethics approval: This study was approved by the Ethical Committee of Shiraz University of Medical Sciences (IR.SUMS.REC.1399.018).

Telehealth-Based Services During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Systematic Review of Features and Challenges.

Background: As an ever-growing popular service, telehealth catered for better access to high-quality healthcare services. It is more valuable and cost-effective, particularly in the middle of the current COVID-19 pandemic. Accordingly, this study aimed to systematically review the features and challenges of telehealth-based services developed to support COVID-19 patients and healthcare providers. Methods: A comprehensive search was done for the English language and peer-reviewed articles published until November 2020 using PubMed and Scopus electronic databases. In this review paper, only studies focusing on the telehealth-based service to support COVID-19 patients and healthcare providers were included. The first author's name, publication year, country of the research, study objectives, outcomes, function type including screening, triage, prevention, diagnosis, treatment or follow-up, target population, media, communication type, guideline-based design, main findings, and challenges were extracted, classified, and tabulated. Results: Of the 5,005 studies identified initially, 64 met the eligibility criteria. The studies came from 18 countries. Most of them were conducted in the United States and China. Phone calls, mobile applications, videoconferencing or video calls, emails, websites, text messages, mixed-reality, and teleradiology software were used as the media for communication. The majority of studies used a synchronous communication. The articles addressed the prevention, screening, triage, diagnosis, treatment, and follow-up aspects of COVID-19 which the most common purpose was the patients' follow-up (34/64, 53%). Thirteen group barriers were identified in the literature, which technology acceptance and user adoption, concerns about the adequacy and accuracy of subjective patient assessment, and technical issues were the most frequent ones. Conclusion: This review revealed the usefulness of telehealth-based services during the COVID-19 outbreak and beyond. The features and challenges identified through the literature can be helpful for a better understanding of current telehealth approaches and pointed out the need for clear guidelines, scientific evidence, and innovative policies to implement successful telehealth projects.

Genetic Aspects and Immune Responses in Covid-19: Important Organ Involvement.

In the last two decades, the world has experienced outbreaks of three major coronaviruses with high morbidity and mortality rates. The most recent of these started in the form of an unusual viral pneumonia in Wuhan, China, and now the world is facing a serious pandemic. This new disease has been called COVID-19 and is caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Understanding the specific genetic and phenotypic structure of SARS-CoV-2 in COVID-19 pathogenesis is vital in finding appropriate drugs and vaccines. With this in mind, this review sheds light on the virology, genetics, immune-responses, and mechanism of action of this virus.

Demographic and clinical characteristics of severe Covid-19 infections: a cross-sectional study from Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Iran.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (Covid-19) is expanding worldwide. The characteristics of this infection in patients varies from country to country. To move forward, clinical data on infected patients are needed. Here, we report a comparison between fatalities and recovery of patients with severe Covid-19, based on demographic and clinical characteristics. METHODS: Between 5 March and 12 May 2020 in Mashhad, Iran, 1278 of 4000 suspected Covid-19 patients were confirmed positive by real-time reverse-transcriptase-polymerase-chain-reaction assay of upper respiratory specimens. We compared the demographic, exposure history and clinical symptoms of 925 survivors and 353 fatal cases with confirmed disease. RESULTS: Mean (SD) age for all confirmed patients was 56.9 (18.7) years, 67.1 (15.9) years in fatal cases and 53.0 (18.3) years in survivors. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the outcome of patients was associated with age (odds ratio = 1.049, P = 0.0001, 95% CI = 1.040-1.057). Despite a high burden of Covid-19 infections in the 30-39 and 40-49 year age groups, most of these (89.6 and 87.2%, respectively) recovered. The median (IQR) duration of hospitalization was 9.0 (6.0-14.0) days. The most prevalent co-morbidities were cardiovascular disorders (21%) and diabetes (16.3%). Dyspnoea (72.7%), cough (68.1%) and fever (63.8%) were the most frequent clinical symptoms. Healthcare workers, of whom two (3%) died, comprised 5.2% of infected cases. Combination antiviral and antibiotic therapy was used in 43.0% of cases. CONCLUSIONS: The characteristics of severe Covid-19 varied substantially between fatal cases and survivors, with diabetes and cardiovascular disorders the most prevalent co-morbidities. In contrast to other studies, there were a higher number of fatalities in younger patients in our setting.

Covid-19 Presented Only with Gastrointestinal Symptoms: A Case Report of a 14-Year-Old Patient

Coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) is expanding worldwide. Although it seems to be a purely respiratory disease, occasional reports of lesions in other organs have been published. We report here an asymptomatic child with Covid-19 and with the main symptom of abdominal pain distension and without any respiratory symptoms. A 14-year-old male patient with main complaints of fever, malaise, anorexia, and severe abdominal pain was admitted to a hospital in Mashhad, Iran. Laparotomy revealed distension of the small intestine and an adhesive ileocaecal band that had produced ileum herniation without free fluid in the abdomen. Chest radiography and high-resolution computed tomography of the lungs showed bilateral and diffuse, peripheral dense areas of ground-glass appearance. A nasopharyngeal swab for diagnosis of Covid-19, was ordered due to lymphopenia together with these diffuse lung infiltrations, which showed a positive result. This led to drug treatment with lopinavir/ ritonavir, hydroxychloroquine, ribavirin/oseltamivir, and meropenem. The patient was febrile and developed tachycardia on the third day, accompanied by a respiratory rate of 44/min. At this point, tracheal intubation was done, but the patient died after 3 hours due to cardiac arrest. The case report brings forth the hypothesis that the gastrointestinal manifestation may be an atypical symptom of Covid-19 infection and highlights the importance of the diagnosis based on combined laboratory-based data and scanning imagery.